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National Times

The gloves come off in the carbon fight

July 12, 2011

Opinion

How many times in its short history as a nation has Australia been a pioneer?

There have been many periods of reform activity but only one that really saw us as a stand-out. This was in the early years of the Commonwealth when an alliance of socialists, social liberals and trade unionists introduced a whole range of democratic and social reforms that made Australia a model of social democracy.

One hundred years later an alliance of Labor, the Greens and three independents is seeking to make Australia a model of green democracy by incorporating a price for carbon into the economy.

Supporters and opponents all agree that what is proposed represents a significant structural change in the way we do things. Disagreement is over the necessity for, and the timing of, the change.

It is true that Australia has successfully managed structural change before. The microeconomic reforms of the 1980s and 1990s come to mind. However, what was different then was the bipartisan support for the competition agenda across the major parties.

For a brief moment in time with Malcolm Turnbull leading the Liberals it looked as though there might be Labor/Liberal agreement on a long-term strategy to tackle climate change. However, this was not to be and adversarialism has again prevailed.

In order to win the argument the alliance for change has a tough battle. Firstly, they face a public that sees a world not only still grappling with the Global Financial Crisis but also not focussed nor united when it comes to climate change.

Secondly, we need to remember that we live in a country that is truly lucky with its geographical location and resource endowment. By focussing on economics it has achieved much and, although per capita emissions of greenhouse gases are large, the overall contribution of Australia to climate change is small.

Thirdly we should note that the most powerful political argument in the past 15 years has been developed around the idea of a "relaxed and comfortable" nation clear on its values and united in their defence. In fact it could be argued that such a notion has held back further improvements in productivity because of its justification for middle-class welfare and infrastructure conservatism.

Why us? Why now? These are the questions being asked by the public.

It is the toughest task of all to reassure people at the same time as you are asking them to change. Linking the price of carbon to a package of measures involving tax, compensation and investment support should be part of the story and has been delivered, but not without inevitable gaps that will be highlighted by the Opposition.

What will also be required is a formidable campaign in the service of our public interest as a nation today and in the future. In this campaign the alliance for change should not be reluctant to emphasise time and time again the environmental risks we face. The vested interests in favour of change, particularly but not only in rural and regional Australia, will need to be as active as those who oppose change, and the fears generated by the sceptics and deniers should be countered by the evidence-based fears generated by science.

The deniers in particular remind me of the mid-20th century conservatives who so hated the left that they were blind to the threat presented by the emergence of fascism.

However, the real challenge is with the Opposition and their so-called "direct action" alternative. The political battle will probably be won or lost on the question of which strategy - carbon price or direct action - finishes up in the dock under cross examination. There are credibility issues as well as policy issues at work here and, as is often said, he who sets the agenda inevitably wins the argument.

It is often said that attack is the best form of defence. In this case the only form of defence is attack.

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111 comments

  • Mean and tricky is the best way to discribe the Green Model of democracy. Lie to the electorate before the election, exclude everyone but a cabal making the decision and then present it as fait de compli.

    Commenter
    SteveH.
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 7:45AM
  • I have no problem with the concept of global warming. I do have a problem with a mish-mash of tax cuts and changes that are somehow supposed to "compensate" for the imposition of a carbon tax. For many Australians -- who have NEVER been relaxed or comfortable -- there is no connection between carbon consumption and tax rebates (if applicable).
    The system is poorly-targetted and too cumbersome, but more importantly, is not actually related to the perceived problem of emission reduction.

    Commenter
    L. Beau Bendon-Stretton
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 8:00AM
  • While Labor, the Greens and Independents are slapping each other on the back, and wearing their self congratulary smiles, we can pause for thought and consider whether there are enough checks and balances in this Carbon Tax Clean Energy Future PLan?
    There is NO guarantee that this mega plan will reduce emissions.
    There is NO guarantee that the Carbon Price will not blow out the upper end and the CraftyCompensations blow us out the bottom end.
    There is NO guarantee that the Renewable Energy Targets will be met.
    There IS a guarantee that it will all cost a million bucketloads of money.
    There IS a guarantee that with many new bureauocracies to be set up by this scheme (there are not enough letters in the alphabet to cover the new acronyms) there is a galaxy of space for ineptitude, maladministration and corruption to flourish.
    There IS a guarantee that inflation will eat away at the tax cuts.
    There IS a guarantee that a tiny economy like ours, with a massive export coal industry should not be a pioneer in navigating the depths of this monolithic carbon tax beast that Labor have been compromised into implementing by the Greens and Independents.

    Commenter
    yys
    Location
    Carbon Tax? No Thanks
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 8:05AM
  • Elbow Bendin@8am, how is a price on carbon emissions "not actually related to the perceived problem of emission reduction"?

    The compensation is to protect lower income earners who are least able to afford the rise in prices that may happen as the price is passed through by the polluters. This is no way negates the incentive for polluters to reduce their emissions and thereby reduce their new cost.

    Commenter
    jofek
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 8:44AM
  • It's strange that Tony Abbot has gotten away with so little scrutiny. I suspect most of his supporters don't realise that both sides of politics are committed to the same targets - 5% below 2000 levels. Tony wants to spend lots of money to do it. Julia wants to tax the polluters. Every economist in Australia thinks Tony's approach is a bad one. How does he get away with talking about great big new taxes when he's committed to spending so much more?

    However, it's a relief that we are at last doing something. A common claim by the nay-sayers is that it won't make any difference by itself, but that's true of every nation. No one can fix this by themselves - even China and the US each only emit 20%. It has to be every nation doing its bit.

    Incidentally, we are hardly pioneers on this. The EU, many states of the US, New Zealand, even China, are doing something. At the moment we are near the back of the pack. This will take us to the middle.

    Commenter
    PB
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 8:48AM
  • Geoff,

    Well done, you have successfully mouthed your party sales pitch of "pioneering spirit" and "not backing away from a challenge" without actually adressing the actual question of what the money go round will actually achieve.

    Throwing in "denier" and comparing (the majority) of Australians to Fascist sympathisers (an extreme left wing ideology) is also a nice touch.

    You can now hold your head high at the next Labor love in.

    Commenter
    Meh
    Location
    Sydney
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 8:48AM
  • SteveH@7.45am, how many people do you believe should have been in the room in arriving at an outcome (such that it would not be a "cabal") - 3 Independents, 1 Green and 72 from Labor?

    Commenter
    jofek
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 8:55AM
  • You deem to deal in certainty - at what level of certainty do you need to be convinced that action is necessary & how late are you willing to gamble on the required action?

    Carbon tax & responsible, positive action? Yes thank you.

    Major polluters being pushed, before being forced, into ethical practices that place peoples well being above a new plasma screen and a share price? Yes please.

    Commenter
    BadSax
    Location
    Not Sure, I am too lazy to look up from the keyboard
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 9:06AM
  • Australians, the pioneers. Hmm. Let's check the definition as revealed by both public and parliamentary debates since climate change was first widely discussed in scientific circles back in the 1950~1960s.

    "Pioneer: one who is dragged kicking and screaming towards the urgent task they have so far refused to recognise as neccessary."

    "Not" the definition found in my Oxford English Dictionary. Must get the Geoff Gallop-approved edition real soon now and employ it in a timely fashion going forward nto the bright sunny uplands... Enough!

    Ian.

    Thanks for coming on to our side, anyway, Geoff. The first scholarly description, by Svante Arrhenius, was in 1896 - yeah, 115 years ago.

    Now, is anyone going to go back and reconsider "The Limits To Growth"?

    Commenter
    Ian
    Location
    Harcourt
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 9:11AM
  • @ jofek

    I don't know how many should have been in room jofek, but just for laughs lets take Julia at her word and ask what happened to the community consultation forum. Or how is it that very few of those 72 from Labor heard anything about the details of this decision before it was released much less participate. Even though Julia claimed re-engaging caucus in the decision making process was her one primary reasons for disposing of Rudd. It seems to me this select clique meets the very definition of a cabal, if you think it doesn't please explain why.

    Commenter
    SteveH.
    Date and time
    July 12, 2011, 9:21AM

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